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Predicting the future of technology
Technology forecasting attempts to predict the future characteristics of machines, procedures or techniques. Researchers create technology forecasts based
Technology_forecasting
Academic journal
Technological Forecasting and Social Change (formerly Technological Forecasting) is a peer-reviewed academic journal published by Elsevier covering futures
Technological Forecasting and Social Change
Technological_Forecasting_and_Social_Change
Making predictions with available data
Land use forecasting Player and team performance in sports Political forecasting Product forecasting Sales forecasting Technology forecasting Telecommunications
Forecasting
Use of knowledge for practical goals
Technology is the application of conceptual knowledge to achieve practical goals, especially in a reproducible way. The word technology can also mean
Technology
Planning technique
specific technology solutions. It is a plan that applies to a new product or process and may include using technology forecasting or technology scouting
Technology_roadmap
Futures studies term
intelligence, technology forecasting, technology roadmapping, technology assessment, and technology foresight. Technology Futures Analysis or Technology Future
Future-oriented technology analysis
Future-oriented_technology_analysis
Determining the value of a new technology
the assessment of effects, consequences, and risks of a technology, but also is a forecasting function looking into the projection of opportunities and
Technology_assessment
Element of technology management
regarded as a method of technology forecasting or in the broader context also an element of corporate foresight. Technology scouting may also be applied
Technology_scouting
Trend forecasting company
advisory business (WGSN Mindset). Coolhunting Extrapolation Technology forecasting Trend Forecasting "Ascential plans £800m initial public offering". Retrieved
WGSN_(trend_forecasting)
Government organization in India
TIFAC (Technology Information Forecasting and Assessment Council) is an autonomous organization set up in 1988 by the government of India under the Department
TIFAC
SciCast is a collaborative platform for science and technology forecasting created by George Mason University with the help of a grant from the Intelligence
SciCast
example). Emerging technologies Hypothetical technology Mad scientist Technobabble Technology forecasting Technofantasy "SFE: Technology". sf-encyclopedia
Technology_in_science_fiction
Most advanced technology available
High technology (high tech or high-tech), also known as advanced technology (advanced tech), is technology that is at the cutting edge: the highest form
High_tech
Study of postulating possible futures
Foresight Science International Journal of Forecasting Journal of Futures Studies Technological Forecasting and Social Change World Futures World Futures
Futures_studies
Powered mechanical device
a simple balance scale, and to move large objects in ancient Egyptian technology. The lever was also used in the shadoof water-lifting device, the first
Machine
Topics referred to by the same term
underlie them Hypothetical technology, technology that does not exist yet, but that could exist in the future Technology forecasting, attempts to predict the
Future_technology
Interactive forecasting method
systematic, interactive forecasting method that relies on a panel of experts. Delphi has been widely used for business forecasting and has certain advantages
Delphi_method
Axioms proposed by British science fiction writer Arthur C. Clarke
three laws, of which the third law – that "any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic" – is the best known and most widely cited
Clarke's_three_laws
Mathematical marketing model
Bass model has been widely used in forecasting, especially new product sales forecasting and technology forecasting. Mathematically, the basic Bass diffusion
Bass_diffusion_model
Object used to achieve a goal
Olduvai stone technology (Oldowan) 2.5 million years ago (scrapers; to butcher dead animals) Huts, 2 million years ago. Acheulean stone technology 1.6 million
Tool
nanotechnologies. Rather, the Project sought to ensure that as these technologies are developed, potential human health and environmental risks were anticipated
Project on Emerging Nanotechnologies
Project_on_Emerging_Nanotechnologies
Attempts to spot a pattern from information
(trends). Cool-hunting Extrapolation Horizon scanning Technology forecasting Weather forecasting Trend analysis tries to predict a trend like a bull market
Trend_analysis
Topics referred to by the same term
been observed Forecast error Forecast skill Weather forecasting, the application of science and technology to predict the weather FORECAST (model), system
Forecast
Hypothetical event
Theodore (2002) "Forecasting the Growth of Complexity and Change" Archived 2021-02-15 at the Wayback Machine, Technological Forecasting & Social Change
Technological_singularity
Proposed sixth-generation mobile telecommunications technology
the proposed and upcoming sixth generation of the mobile communications technology and the planned successor to 5G (ITU-R IMT-2020). As of 2026, development
6G
Philosophical movement
cultural movement that advocates using existing, emerging, and speculative technologies to enhance humans beyond current natural limitations, particularly by
Transhumanism
Hypothetical nuclear weapon
deliverable, pure fusion weapon, using only present-day, unclassified technology. The weapon design weighs approximately 3 tonnes, and might have a total
Pure_fusion_weapon
Electronic circuit formed on a small, flat piece of semiconductor material
sizes and the needed progress in related areas was forecast for many years by the International Technology Roadmap for Semiconductors (ITRS). The final ITRS
Integrated_circuit
Implement or device used to inflict damage, harm, or kill
materials and crafting techniques led to a series of revolutions in military technology. The development of metal tools began with copper during the Copper Age
Weapon
Concept for a future society created by a new industrial revolution
Fifth Science and Technology Basic Plan, which was written by the Cabinet of Japan's Cabinet Office’s Council for Science, Technology and Innovation, and
Society_5.0
Material of a wide range of synthetic or semi-synthetic organic solids
burned, especially when burning is uncontrolled or takes place in low-technology incinerators, as is common in many developing countries. Incomplete combustion
Plastic
Extremely large or complex datasets
to many zettabytes of data. Big data requires a set of techniques and technologies with new forms of integration to reveal insights from datasets that are
Big_data
Method for estimating the maturity of technologies
Technology readiness levels (TRLs) are a method for estimating the maturity of technologies during the acquisition phase of a program. TRLs enable consistent
Technology_readiness_level
Mobile equipment that transports people, animals or cargo
the ground: wheels, tracks, rails or skis, as well as the non-contact technologies such as maglev. ISO 3833-1977 is the international standard for road
Vehicle
Belief in an incipient technological singularity
"singularitarian." With the support of NASA, Google, and a broad range of technology forecasters and technocapitalists, the Singularity University opened in 2009
Singularitarianism
Data science software and consultancy company
February 28, 2017. "How Obama's Team Used Big Data to Rally Voters". MIT Technology Review. Retrieved 2021-04-07. Elahi, Amani (July 16, 2015). "Civis Analytics
Civis_Analytics
Design and control of technology products
technology in an organization. Technology forecasting - the identification of possible relevant technologies for the organization, such as technology
Technology_management
Movement of goods or people between locations
may impose taxes on the purchase or use of vehicles. Because of poor forecasting and overestimation of passenger numbers by planners, there is frequently
Transport
Combined real-and-virtual environment
Extended reality (XR) is an umbrella term for various immersive technologies, including augmented reality (AR) and virtual reality (VR) as well as a means
Extended_reality
Term related to the transformation of work and technology
Industrial Revolution, 4IR or Industry 4.0 marks a rapid change to how technology influences industry, society, processes and operations in the 21st century
Work_4.0
2010s–present technological convergence era
traditional manufacturing and industrial practices, using modern smart technology, large-scale machine-to-machine communication (M2M), and the Internet
Fourth_Industrial_Revolution
Electric light bulb with a resistively heated wire filament
over their introduction in a system of lighting. — Thomas P. Hughes, in Technology at the Turning Point, edited by W. B. Pickett In 1761, Ebenezer Kinnersley
Incandescent_light_bulb
Measure of a civilization's evolution
cosmic radio sources discovered in 1963 by the California Institute of Technology, CTA-21 and CTA-102 in particular, which would have characteristics close
Kardashev_scale
employed at eGain Sweden AB. Forecasting method began to be introduced to use in the late 1980s. Until 2017 inclusive, forecasting method has been introduced
Egain_forecasting
Strategy of technology governance
technological development is a strategy of technology governance aiming to decrease risks from emerging technologies by influencing the sequence in which they
Differential technological development
Differential_technological_development
Watercraft capable of independent underwater operation
design improvement stagnated for over a century, until application of new technologies for propulsion and stability. The first military submersible was Turtle
Submarine
Period of human and computer science history
Tim; Borth, Damian; Hees, Jörn; Dengel, Andreas (2014). "Analysis and Forecasting of Trending Topics in Online Media Streams". arXiv:1405.7452 [cs.SI]
Zettabyte_Era
Method of predicting the future
Reference class forecasting or comparison class forecasting is a method of predicting the future by looking at similar past situations and their outcomes
Reference_class_forecasting
Transforming processes with smart IT
leveraging smart devices, big data, artificial intelligence, and cloud technologies. Intelligent transformation can facilitate firms in gaining recognition
Intelligent_transformation
American meteorologist and inventor (1906–1996)
Meteorology at California Institute of Technology (1933–1948), one of the U.S. Air Force meteorologists who provided forecasts for the Normandy Landings in 1944
Irving_P._Krick
Leading industrial IoT as a service solution
(APIs) and development tools. This allows OEMs to integrate their own technology. MindSphere is based on the concept of closed feedback loops enabling
MindSphere
Writing project led by Neal Stephenson
to create science fiction in order to spur innovation in science and technology, founded by Neal Stephenson in 2011. Stephenson framed the ideas behind
Project_Hieroglyph
Graphical presentation of the maturity of specific technologies
represent the maturity, adoption, and social application of specific technologies. The hype cycle's veracity has been largely disputed, with studies pointing
Gartner_hype_cycle
Overview of and topical guide to futures studies
Cleveland Emerging technologies List of emerging technologies End of civilization Eschatology Failure mode and effects analysis Forecasting Foresight Future
Outline_of_futures_studies
Overview of and topical guide to technology
given technology Technology for Improved Learning Outcomes Technology for peace Technology forecasting – Predicting the future of technology Technology gap –
Outline_of_technology
Weather forecasting and information technology company
The Weather Company LLC is a weather forecasting and information technology company that owns and operates the Weather Channel app and its website weather
The_Weather_Company
Materials with granular size 1 to 100 nm
advanced treatment of wastewater. In the air purification field, nano technology was used to combat the spread of MERS in Saudi Arabian hospitals in 2012
Nanomaterials
Application of technology for use in warfare
Military technology is the application of technology for use in warfare. It comprises the kinds of technology that are distinctly military in nature and
Military_technology
American video game publisher
network television", which landed him the position of manager of technology forecasting. After several national magazines quoted his articles on "the exciting
Bethesda_Softworks
Application of science and technology
Weather forecasting or weather prediction is the application of science and technology to predict the conditions of the atmosphere for a given location
Weather_forecasting
Energy development
solar, wind, geothermal, fuel cells, biofuels, and other clean energy technologies. Since the publication of the first Clean Energy Trends report in 2002
Clean_Energy_Trends
alteration Technology forecasting – the prediction of future characteristics of useful technological machines, procedures or techniques Technology scouting –
Exnovation
Prediction of the future created by combining several separate forecasts
Energy Forecasting Competition (GEFCom2014) used variants of QRA. Consensus-based assessment Consensus decision-making Delphi method Economic forecasting Ensemble
Consensus_forecast
Hydraulic binder used in the composition of mortar and concrete
Introduction to Science and Technology Studies. Wiley. ISBN 978-1-4443-1512-7. Mukerji, Chandra (2009). Impossible Engineering: Technology and Territoriality on
Cement
Influencing current reality from desired future state scenario
analysis, backcasting can be considered to be the opposite of forecasting; thus: forecasting involves the prediction of the future (unknown) values of the
Backcasting
Term referring to various activities in futurology
Accelerating change Emerging technologies Foresight Institute Forecasting Horizon scanning Optimism bias Reference class forecasting Scenario planning Strategic
Foresight_(futures_studies)
American non-profit thinktank
Herbert L Smith (1987). "The Social Forecasting Industry". In Kenneth C. Land; Stephen H. Schneider (eds.). Forecasting in the Social and Natural Sciences
Institute_for_the_Future
Frequency spectrum reuse technology
methods of convergence and coexistence with future 5G mobile communication technologies, although this was not the main focus of the proposal. Each tower should
WiB (digital terrestrial television)
WiB_(digital_terrestrial_television)
Prediction of future fashion trends
and technology. Short-term forecasting can also be considered fad forecasting. Two types of fashion forecasting are used: short-term forecasting, which
Fashion_forecasting
Soviet and Russian statesman
a columnist and author of articles in the Technology Forecast publication of the PwC Centre for Technology and Information. From the assessments of colleagues:
Vladimir_Rubanov
Concept of industrial testing and evaluation for the digital age
(including nondestructive testing) arising from Industry 4.0 digital technologies, physical inspection methods, and business models. It seeks to enhance
Nondestructive_Evaluation_4.0
Technological trend
and the datafication of urban digital society". Ethics and Information Technology. 22 (2): 141–149. doi:10.1007/s10676-019-09523-0. "Digitization, digitalization
Datafication
General term for activities in connection with corporate or governmental innovation
activities in science or technology, using similar techniques to scientific research but directed toward desired outcomes with broad forecasts of commercial yield
Research_and_development
AI progress forecasting nonprofit
in forecasting the development and societal impact of advanced artificial intelligence. The organization is best known for its 2025 scenario forecast, AI
AI_Futures_Project
Service 4.0 is a collective term for technologies and concepts of service and support function organizations, based on new disruptive technological concepts
Service_4.0
American technology forecaster (born 1954)
Paul Saffo (born 1954 in Los Angeles) is a futurist and technology forecaster based in Silicon Valley, California. A Consulting Professor in the School
Paul_Saffo
Sensorization is a modern technology trend to insert many similar sensors in any device or application. Some scientists believe that sensorization is one
Sensorization
American weather technology company
combining proprietary satellite data, artificial intelligence, and real-time forecasting for enterprises and governments. Its customers include major airlines
Tomorrow.io
Conspiracy theory regarding a totalitarian world government
exonerated. Antiscience and neo-Luddite conspiracy theorists emphasize technology forecasting in their New World Order conspiracy theories. They speculate that
New World Order conspiracy theory
New_World_Order_conspiracy_theory
Forecast potential trends
Global Strategic Trends Programme was established in 2001 to research and forecast potential trends that shape and inform the future strategic context. It
Global Strategic Trends Programme
Global_Strategic_Trends_Programme
Any ideology based on the premise that advances in technology could bring a utopia
technoutopianism, is any ideology based on the premise that advances in science and technology could and should bring about a utopia, or at least help to fulfill one
Technological_utopianism
Systematic planning, management and control of innovation in organizations
alteration Technology forecasting – the prediction of future characteristics of useful technological machines, procedures or techniques Technology scouting –
Innovation_management
Planning-oriented discipline
Critical design Design fiction Forecasting Foresight (future studies) Futurology Optimism bias Reference class forecasting Science fiction prototyping Strategic
Strategic_foresight
Platforms for betting on events
accuracy in the long run". International Journal of Forecasting. US Presidential Election Forecasting. 24 (2): 285–300. doi:10.1016/j.ijforecast.2008.03
Prediction_market
Estimations of customer demand
Demand forecasting, also known as demand planning and sales forecasting (DP&SF), involves the prediction of the quantity of goods and services that will
Demand_forecasting
Forecasting Competition (GEFCom) is a competition conducted by a team led by Dr. Tao Hong that invites submissions around the world for forecasting energy
Global Energy Forecasting Competition
Global_Energy_Forecasting_Competition
Telecommunications service providers perform forecasting calculations to assist them in planning their networks. Accurate forecasting helps operators to make key investment
Telecommunications forecasting
Telecommunications_forecasting
Former weather forecaster with NOAA
Track Forecasting". Weather and Forecasting. 7 (1): 107–118. Aberson SD, Franklin JL (1999). "Impact on Hurricane Track and Intensity Forecasts of GPS
James Franklin (meteorologist)
James_Franklin_(meteorologist)
Time after the present
models. Forecasting is the process of estimating outcomes in uncontrolled situations. Forecasting is applied in many areas, such as weather forecasting, earthquake
Future
Urban large-scale air purifier
Dhabi. The 7-metre (23 ft) tall tower uses patented positive ionisation technology and is expected to clean 30,000 m3 of air per hour. In 2016, a 100-metre
Smog_tower
Problem-solving tools
an organized, systematic method of problem-solving with analysis and forecasting techniques derived from the study of patterns of invention in global
TRIZ
Prediction of flooding in a specific area
and definition of flood forecasting can differ across scientific publications and methodologies. In some cases, flood forecasting is focused on estimating
Flood_forecasting
for forecasting" (PDF). Interfaces. 23 (3): 365–376. doi:10.1016/j.ijforecast.2007.05.005. Major Joseph P. Martino (March–April 1969). "Forecasting the
Forecast_by_analogy
British television weather forecaster
TV weather forecasting team, where he worked until 1997. In the 2000s and 2010s he appeared on BBC Look East as one of their forecasting team. He retired
Jim Bacon (weather forecaster)
Jim_Bacon_(weather_forecaster)
Forecasting System | Earthdata Archived 2021-03-18 at the Wayback Machine "New Invasive Species Forecasting System Uses USGS Science, NASA Technology"
Invasive Species Forecasting System
Invasive_Species_Forecasting_System
Predicting future value of company stock
Thawornwong, S.; Enke, D. Forecasting Stock Returns with Artificial Neural Networks, Chap. 3. In: Neural Networks in Business Forecasting, Editor: Zhang, G.P
Stock_market_prediction
American entrepreneur and software developer
established the first office of Technology Forecasting for the network. He then became the Vice-President for Science and Technology at the National Cable Television
Christopher_Weaver
Application of organized knowledge and skills to solve health problems
Analysis and Trends- Technology (Haptic Technology,3 Dimensional Technology and Virtual Reality Technology), Product – Forecast to 2025". www.prnewswire
Health_technology
employed at eGain Sweden AB. Forecasting method began to be introduced to use in the late 1980s. Until 2010 inclusive, forecasting method has been introduced
Forecasting_(heating)
Massachusetts Institute of Technology 2006: San Jose State University List of meteorology awards Illston, Bradley. "The WxChallenge: Forecasting Competition, Educational
National Collegiate Weather Forecasting Contest
National_Collegiate_Weather_Forecasting_Contest
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