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MODEL RISK

  • Model risk
  • Risk class in finance

    In finance, model risk is the risk of loss resulting from using insufficiently accurate models to make decisions, originally and frequently in the context

    Model risk

    Model_risk

  • Financial risk modeling
  • Modelling financial risks

    Financial risk modeling is the use of formal mathematical and econometric techniques to measure, monitor and control the market risk, credit risk, and operational

    Financial risk modeling

    Financial_risk_modeling

  • Credit risk
  • Risk that a borrower or counterparty fails to meet financial obligations

    assessments of credit risk and may be used as a reference point to price loans or trigger collateral calls. Most lenders employ their models (credit scorecards)

    Credit risk

    Credit_risk

  • DREAD (risk assessment model)
  • Computer security threat assessment model

    Reproducibility, Exploitability, Affected users, Discoverability) is a risk assessment and threat modeling system for computer security threats. When a given threat

    DREAD (risk assessment model)

    DREAD_(risk_assessment_model)

  • Swiss cheese model
  • Model used in risk analysis

    The Swiss cheese model of accident causation is a model used in risk analysis and risk management. It likens human systems to multiple slices of Swiss

    Swiss cheese model

    Swiss cheese model

    Swiss_cheese_model

  • Capital asset pricing model
  • Finance model linking expected return to systematic risk

    portfolio. The model takes into account the asset's sensitivity to non-diversifiable risk (also known as systematic risk or market risk), often represented

    Capital asset pricing model

    Capital asset pricing model

    Capital_asset_pricing_model

  • Black–Scholes model
  • Mathematical model of financial markets

    the risk of the security and its expected return (instead replacing the security's expected return with the risk-neutral rate). The equation and model are

    Black–Scholes model

    Black–Scholes_model

  • Financial risk
  • Any of various types of risk associated with financing

    market risk, liquidity risk, credit risk, business risk and investment risk. The four standard market risk factors are equity risk, interest rate risk, currency

    Financial risk

    Financial_risk

  • Rama Cont
  • Iranian mathematician (born 1972)

    mathematical modelling in finance, in particular for his work on pathwise methods in stochastic analysis and mathematical models of systemic risk. He was awarded

    Rama Cont

    Rama Cont

    Rama_Cont

  • Markowitz model
  • Portfolio optimization model in finance

    'move' exactly together, the HM model shows investors how to reduce their risk. The HM model is also called mean-variance model due to the fact that it is

    Markowitz model

    Markowitz_model

  • Systemic risk
  • Risk of collapse of an entire financial system or entire market

    In finance, systemic risk is the risk of collapse of an entire financial system or entire market, as opposed to the risk associated with any one individual

    Systemic risk

    Systemic_risk

  • Ruin theory
  • Theory in actuarial science and applied probability

    (sometimes risk theory or collective risk theory) uses mathematical models to describe an insurer's vulnerability to insolvency/ruin. In such models key quantities

    Ruin theory

    Ruin_theory

  • Risk-need-responsivity model
  • Criminological risk assessment model

    The risk-needs-responsivity (RNR) model is used in criminology to develop recommendations for how prisoners should be assessed based on the risk they present

    Risk-need-responsivity model

    Risk-need-responsivity_model

  • Risk factor (finance)
  • Concept in finance

    investments or business adventures. A risk factor is a concept in finance theory such as the capital asset pricing model, arbitrage pricing theory and other

    Risk factor (finance)

    Risk_factor_(finance)

  • Financial risk management
  • Protecting economic value by managing risk exposure

    Financial risk management is the practice of protecting economic value in a firm by managing exposure to financial risk - principally credit risk and market

    Financial risk management

    Financial_risk_management

  • Frank J. Fabozzi
  • American economist, educator, writer and investor

    portal Kalotay–Williams–Fabozzi model "Frank Fabozzi, PhD". EDHEC-Risk Institute "Professor Frank J Fabozzi joins EDHEC-Risk Institute". HedgeWeek.com. Global

    Frank J. Fabozzi

    Frank_J._Fabozzi

  • Risk communication
  • Academic sub-field of risk management

    change-related risks, cancer risks, and infectious disease risks. Within risk communication research, the risk information seeking & processing (RISP) model hypothesizes

    Risk communication

    Risk_communication

  • Volatility risk
  • Risk arising from changes in market volatility affecting the value of financial positions

    Financial risk management Implied volatility Volatility smile IVX Market risk Model risk § Uncertainty on volatility Volatility arbitrage Value at risk Volatility

    Volatility risk

    Volatility_risk

  • Risk
  • Possibility of something bad happening

    undiversifiable risk. The model implies this 'systematic' source of risk should be the only factor considered, as all other sources of risk can be diversified

    Risk

    Risk

    Risk

  • Risk management
  • Identification, evaluation and control of risks

    Risk management is the identification, evaluation, and prioritization of risks, followed by the minimization, monitoring, and control of the impact or

    Risk management

    Risk management

    Risk_management

  • Merton model
  • Model that values credit risk using option-based default mechanics

    The Merton model, is a widely used "structural" credit risk model, which was developed by American economist Robert C. Merton in 1974. Analysts and investors

    Merton model

    Merton_model

  • RiskMetrics
  • American financial services company

    The RiskMetrics variance model (also known as exponential smoother) was first established in 1989, when Sir Dennis Weatherstone, the new chairman of J

    RiskMetrics

    RiskMetrics

  • Liquidity at risk
  • Measure of potential liquidity shortfall in a financial portfolio

    like VaR, is sensitive to model assumptions and may underestimate extreme events. Liquidity at risk (LaR) is a quantitative risk measure that estimates the

    Liquidity at risk

    Liquidity_at_risk

  • Financial modeling
  • Modeling financial systems

    Credit risk, Consumer credit risk, counterparty credit risk and regulatory capital: EAD, PD, LGD, PFE, EE; Jarrow–Turnbull model, Merton model, KMV model Portfolio

    Financial modeling

    Financial_modeling

  • Risk inclination model
  • loss or gain). The risk inclination model (RIM) is composed of three constructs: confidence weighting, restricted context, and the risk inclination formula

    Risk inclination model

    Risk inclination model

    Risk_inclination_model

  • Spiral model
  • Software development process model

    The spiral model is a risk-driven software development process model. Based on the unique risk patterns of a given project, the spiral model guides a team

    Spiral model

    Spiral model

    Spiral_model

  • Existential risk from artificial intelligence
  • Hypothesized risk to human existence

    a serious risk of AI destroying humanity". Politico. Retrieved 19 September 2026. Barrett, Anthony M.; Baum, Seth D. (23 May 2016). "A model of pathways

    Existential risk from artificial intelligence

    Existential_risk_from_artificial_intelligence

  • Risk aversion
  • Economics theory

    In economics and finance, risk aversion is the tendency of people to prefer outcomes with low uncertainty to those outcomes with high uncertainty, even

    Risk aversion

    Risk aversion

    Risk_aversion

  • The Journal of Risk Model Validation
  • Academic journal

    Journal of Risk Model Validation is a bimonthly peer-reviewed academic journal focusing on the implementation and validation of risk models. It was established

    The Journal of Risk Model Validation

    The_Journal_of_Risk_Model_Validation

  • Upside risk
  • risk and downside risk separately provides much more useful information to investors than does only looking at the single Capital Asset Pricing Model

    Upside risk

    Upside_risk

  • Valuation risk
  • Risk that financial assets are misstated due to uncertain or unreliable valuations

    developed pricing models. Valuation errors can result for instance from missing consideration of risk factors, inaccurate modeling of risk factors, or inaccurate

    Valuation risk

    Valuation_risk

  • Econometrics of risk
  • Econometric analysis of financial risk

    econometrics of risk is a specialized field within econometrics that focuses on the quantitative modeling and statistical analysis of risk in various economic

    Econometrics of risk

    Econometrics_of_risk

  • Quantitative analysis (finance)
  • Use of mathematical and statistical methods in finance

    considerations regarding counterparty credit risk were incorporated into the modelling, previously performed in an entirely "risk neutral world", entailing three major

    Quantitative analysis (finance)

    Quantitative_analysis_(finance)

  • Modern portfolio theory
  • Mathematical framework for investment risk

    risk vs expected return profile — i.e., if for that level of risk an alternative portfolio exists that has better expected returns. Under the model:

    Modern portfolio theory

    Modern portfolio theory

    Modern_portfolio_theory

  • Earnings at risk
  • Estimate of the potential impact of market movements on a firm's earnings

    techniques similar to those employed in Value at Risk (VaR) models. Financial institutions typically model changes in interest rates, foreign exchange rates

    Earnings at risk

    Earnings_at_risk

  • Systematic risk
  • Vulnerability to significant events that affect aggregate outcomes

    can decline. In economic modeling, model outcomes depend heavily on the nature of risk. Modelers often incorporate aggregate risk through shocks to endowments

    Systematic risk

    Systematic_risk

  • Multiple factor models
  • Asset pricing models

    manage portfolio risk. They are generally extensions of the single-factor capital asset pricing model (CAPM). The multifactor equity risk model was first developed

    Multiple factor models

    Multiple_factor_models

  • Risk-free rate
  • Hypothetical interest rate on a risk-free investment

    sometimes seen as the risk-free rate of return in US dollars. As stated by Malcolm Kemp in chapter five of his book Market Consistency: Model Calibration in

    Risk-free rate

    Risk-free_rate

  • Cox–Ingersoll–Ross model
  • Stochastic model for the evolution of financial interest rates

    describes interest rate movements as driven by only one source of market risk. The model can be used in the valuation of interest rate derivatives. It was introduced

    Cox–Ingersoll–Ross model

    Cox–Ingersoll–Ross model

    Cox–Ingersoll–Ross_model

  • Jarrow–Turnbull model
  • Reduced-form model for valuing credit-risky securities using default intensities

    Jarrow–Turnbull model is a widely used "reduced-form" credit risk model. It was published in 1995 by Robert A. Jarrow and Stuart Turnbull. Under the model, which

    Jarrow–Turnbull model

    Jarrow–Turnbull_model

  • Basel III
  • Banking regulation framework

    jump-to-default risk. (iii) A residual risk add-on, appended for other market risks not captured, such as gap risk and behavioural risk. Under the Internal Models approach

    Basel III

    Basel_III

  • Fama–French three-factor model
  • Statistical model for asset pricing in finance

    Switzerland. Eugene Fama and Kenneth French also analysed models with local and global risk factors for four developed market regions (North America,

    Fama–French three-factor model

    Fama–French_three-factor_model

  • Value at risk
  • Estimated potential loss for an investment under a given set of conditions

    Value at risk (VaR) is a measure of the risk of loss of investment/capital. It estimates how much a set of investments might lose (with a given probability)

    Value at risk

    Value at risk

    Value_at_risk

  • Risk-neutral measure
  • Probability measure

    using a linear (risk-neutral) utility in the payoff, assuming some known model for the payoff. This means that you try to find the risk-neutral measure

    Risk-neutral measure

    Risk-neutral_measure

  • Comprehensive Capital Analysis and Review
  • United States regulatory framework

    testing of a bank's capital structure on a quantitative basis via models. Model risk management guidance has been provided by the Federal Reserve and the

    Comprehensive Capital Analysis and Review

    Comprehensive_Capital_Analysis_and_Review

  • Threshold model
  • Type of mathematical model

    than the threshold. The liability-threshold model is frequently employed in medicine and genetics to model risk factors contributing to disease. In a genetic

    Threshold model

    Threshold model

    Threshold_model

  • Threat model
  • Process of identifying structural vulnerabilities

    Evaluation) method, an operations-centric threat modeling methodology, was introduced with a focus on organizational risk management. In 2004, Frank Swiderski and

    Threat model

    Threat_model

  • Market risk
  • Risks arising from movements in market variables

    building. Systemic risk Cost risk Demand risk Valuation risk Risk modeling Risk attitude Modern portfolio theory Risk return ratio Financial risk management § Banking

    Market risk

    Market_risk

  • Risk-sensitive foraging models
  • Risk-sensitive foraging models help to explain the variance in foraging behaviour in animals. This model allows powerful predictions to be made about expected

    Risk-sensitive foraging models

    Risk-sensitive_foraging_models

  • Natural risk
  • Key risk indicators Risk management tools Financial risk modeling Country risk Model risk Political risk Valuation risk Moral hazard Reputational risk "Nature

    Natural risk

    Natural risk

    Natural_risk

  • Large language model
  • Type of machine learning model

    A large language model (LLM) is an AI model (typically a neural network) trained on a vast amount of text for natural language processing tasks, especially

    Large language model

    Large_language_model

  • Downside risk
  • Risk of the actual return being below the expected return

    Downside risk was first modeled by Roy (1952), who assumed that an investor's goal was to minimize his/her risk. This mean-semivariance, or downside risk, model

    Downside risk

    Downside_risk

  • Risk measure
  • Concept in financial mathematics

    accounting Risk management Risk metric - the abstract concept that a risk measure quantifies Risk return ratio RiskMetrics - a model for risk management

    Risk measure

    Risk_measure

  • 5M model
  • Aviation risk-management model

    The 5M model is a troubleshooting and risk-management model used for aviation safety. Based on T.P. Wright's original work on the man-machine-environment

    5M model

    5M model

    5M_model

  • Outline of finance
  • Overview of finance and finance-related topics

    of goods or services Capital asset pricing model – Finance model linking expected return to systematic risk Cash flow – Movement of money into or out of

    Outline of finance

    Outline_of_finance

  • Risk premium
  • Measure of excess

    (The Risk Free Rate) + (The Beta of the Security) * (The Market Risk Premium) In this model, we use the implied risk premium (market return less risk-free

    Risk premium

    Risk premium

    Risk_premium

  • Operational risk
  • Risk of disrupting business operations

    of Operational Risk Key risk indicators Operational risk management Risk management Risk management tools Risk modeling Supply chain risk management Yasar

    Operational risk

    Operational_risk

  • Vasicek model
  • Mathematical model of interest rates

    describes interest rate movements as driven by only one source of market risk. The model can be used in the valuation of interest rate derivatives, and has

    Vasicek model

    Vasicek model

    Vasicek_model

  • Entropic value at risk
  • Coherent measure for value at risk

    optimization, the concept of risk measure is used to quantify the risk involved in a random outcome or risk position. Many risk measures have hitherto been

    Entropic value at risk

    Entropic_value_at_risk

  • Kurtosis risk
  • Term in decision theory

    In statistics and decision theory, kurtosis risk is the risk that results when a statistical model assumes the normal distribution, but is applied to observations

    Kurtosis risk

    Kurtosis_risk

  • Yard-sale model
  • Economic model showing fair trading leads to inequality

    redistribution, taxation, risk limits, and wealth-attained advantage can alter the unequal outcomes the model produces. Because the basic model produces extreme

    Yard-sale model

    Yard-sale_model

  • Cheyette model
  • Model in mathematical finance

    Heath-Jarrow-Morton model (working paper). Berkeley: BARRA Inc. Chibane, M. and Law, D. (2013). A quadratic volatility Cheyette model, Risk.net v t e

    Cheyette model

    Cheyette_model

  • Mark to model
  • Mark to market Model risk Gastineau et al., The Dictionary of Financial Risk Management Justin Wheatley, The StatPro Cloud "Mark to Model or Mark to Myth

    Mark to model

    Mark_to_model

  • Residual risk
  • Danger remaining after risk reduction

    residual risk is residual risk = ( inherent risk ) − ( impact of risk controls ) {\displaystyle {\text{residual risk}}=({\text{inherent risk}})-({\text{impact

    Residual risk

    Residual_risk

  • Black model
  • Financial model

    under a risk-neutral pricing measure and that the option payoff is discounted at a constant risk-free interest rate. In its standard form the model is used

    Black model

    Black_model

  • Jon Danielsson
  • Icelandic economist

    systemic risk, artificial intelligence, cryptocurrencies, financial risk, hedge funds, financial regulations, market volatility, liquidity, models of extreme

    Jon Danielsson

    Jon Danielsson

    Jon_Danielsson

  • Risk factor
  • Variable associated with an increased risk of disease or infection

    In epidemiology, a risk factor or determinant is a variable associated with an increased risk of disease or infection. Due to a lack of harmonization across

    Risk factor

    Risk_factor

  • Catastrophe modeling
  • Computer-assisted risk analysis

    catastrophic event such as a hurricane or earthquake. Cat modeling is especially applicable to analyzing risks in the insurance industry and is at the confluence

    Catastrophe modeling

    Catastrophe_modeling

  • Asset pricing
  • How equities and debt instruments are valued

    Bollerslev (2019). "Risk and Return in Equilibrium: The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)" Andreas Krause. "An Overview of Asset Pricing Models" (PDF). people

    Asset pricing

    Asset_pricing

  • Generative pre-trained transformer
  • Type of large language model

    web pages. Citing risks of malicious use, OpenAI opted for a "staged release", initially publishing smaller versions of the model before releasing the

    Generative pre-trained transformer

    Generative pre-trained transformer

    Generative_pre-trained_transformer

  • Bachelier model
  • Economic model for asset prices

    Bachelier model took an important role in option pricing and risk management. The CME Group has since switched back to the Black–Scholes model. Research

    Bachelier model

    Bachelier_model

  • Risk appetite
  • Type of risk an organization is willing to pursue

    one possible qualitative model of risk appetites (that is, risk levels) that a business may adopt to ensure a response to risk that is proportionate given

    Risk appetite

    Risk_appetite

  • Linear no-threshold model
  • Main model used in radioprotection to minimize radiation exposures

    LNT model." The United States Environmental Protection Agency endorses the LNT model in its 2011 report on radiogenic cancer risk: Underlying the risk models

    Linear no-threshold model

    Linear no-threshold model

    Linear_no-threshold_model

  • Skewness risk
  • Financial modeling term

    Skewness risk in forecasting models utilized in the financial field is the risk that results when observations are not spread symmetrically around an average

    Skewness risk

    Skewness_risk

  • PnL explained
  • Income statement with commentary

    incomplete, or the models used for sensitivities calculations are incorrect or inconsistent. See model risk and, again, Financial risk management § Banking

    PnL explained

    PnL_explained

  • Financial Modelers' Manifesto
  • The Financial Modelers' Manifesto was a proposal for more responsibility in risk management and quantitative finance written by financial engineers Emanuel

    Financial Modelers' Manifesto

    Financial_Modelers'_Manifesto

  • Model Context Protocol
  • Protocol for communicating between LLMs and applications

    The Model Context Protocol (MCP) is an open standard and open-source framework introduced by Anthropic in November 2024 to standardize the way artificial

    Model Context Protocol

    Model Context Protocol

    Model_Context_Protocol

  • Isoelastic utility
  • Concept in economics

    theoretical models this often has the implication that decision-making is unaffected by scale. For instance, in the standard model of one risk-free asset

    Isoelastic utility

    Isoelastic utility

    Isoelastic_utility

  • Maritime Security Risk Analysis Model
  • Security Risk Analysis Model (MSRAM) is a process and model that supports the U.S. Coast Guard's mission to understand and mitigate the risk of terrorist

    Maritime Security Risk Analysis Model

    Maritime_Security_Risk_Analysis_Model

  • Goldman Sachs asset management factor model
  • Investment model

    management (GSAM) factor model is a quantitative investment model used by financial analysts to assess the potential performance and risk of company. There are

    Goldman Sachs asset management factor model

    Goldman_Sachs_asset_management_factor_model

  • Political risk
  • Probability of adverse effects of political decisions

    modelled like other types of risk. For example, Eurasia Group produces a political risk index which incorporates four distinct categories of sub-risk

    Political risk

    Political_risk

  • Entropic risk measure
  • (concerned with mathematical modeling of financial markets), the entropic risk measure is a risk measure which depends on the risk aversion of the user through

    Entropic risk measure

    Entropic_risk_measure

  • Expected shortfall
  • Risk measure estimating the average loss in the worst tail of the distribution

    mathematical finance, risk measures arise when considering the profit/loss distribution, i.e., payoff, for a financial portfolio, modeled as a random variable

    Expected shortfall

    Expected_shortfall

  • Hyperbolic absolute risk aversion
  • theory, hyperbolic absolute risk aversion (HARA) refers to a type of risk aversion that is particularly convenient to model mathematically and to obtain

    Hyperbolic absolute risk aversion

    Hyperbolic_absolute_risk_aversion

  • At-risk students
  • Student who requires temporary or ongoing intervention

    are predictable with linear modeling. In January 2020, Governor Gavin Newsom of California changed all references to "at-risk" to "at-promise" in the California

    At-risk students

    At-risk_students

  • CAMELS rating system
  • Regulatory rating system to classify a bank's soundness

    Risk: Interagency Advisory on Interest Rate Risk Management". www.OCC.gov. January 8, 2010. Retrieved June 22, 2017. "Sound Practices for Model Risk Management:

    CAMELS rating system

    CAMELS_rating_system

  • Risk assessment
  • Estimation of risk associated with exposure to a given set of hazards

    ecological risk assessment: using the relative risk model. Boca Raton, FL: CRC Press. ISBN 1-56670-655-6. OCLC 74274833. Lackey R (1997). "If ecological risk assessment

    Risk assessment

    Risk_assessment

  • Flood Modeller
  • Flood Modeller is a computer program developed by Jacobs that assesses flood risk by simulating the flow of water through river channels, urban drainage

    Flood Modeller

    Flood_Modeller

  • Foreign exchange risk
  • Type of financial risk

    Foreign exchange risk (also known as FX risk, exchange rate risk or currency risk) is a financial risk that exists when a financial transaction is denominated

    Foreign exchange risk

    Foreign_exchange_risk

  • Equity risk
  • Equity risk is "the financial risk involved in holding equity in a particular investment." Equity risk is a type of market risk that applies to investing

    Equity risk

    Equity_risk

  • Systematic trading
  • Trading modality

    systematic trading funds, the high level of volatility and manager-specific model risk can be mitigated. Perry J. Kaufman, American systematic trader, index

    Systematic trading

    Systematic_trading

  • Tail risk
  • Risk of statistically extreme events

    Tail risk, sometimes called "fat tail risk", is the financial risk of an asset or portfolio of assets moving more than three standard deviations from

    Tail risk

    Tail_risk

  • Two-moment decision model
  • optimization can be implemented using a two-moment decision model. Example 3: Suppose that a price-taking, risk-averse firm must commit to producing a quantity of

    Two-moment decision model

    Two-moment_decision_model

  • Heston model
  • Model in finance

    In finance, the Heston model, named after Steven L. Heston, is a mathematical model that describes the evolution of the volatility of an underlying asset

    Heston model

    Heston_model

  • General-Purpose AI Code of Practice
  • EU AI governance framework

    systemic-risk GPAI model in the EU market, or substantially updating an existing one. Signatories commit to identifying systemic risks of their model, analysing

    General-Purpose AI Code of Practice

    General-Purpose_AI_Code_of_Practice

  • Almgren–Chriss model
  • Mathematical model in optimal trade execution

    The Almgren–Chriss model is a mathematical model in mathematical finance for the optimal execution of large portfolio transactions. Developed by Robert

    Almgren–Chriss model

    Almgren–Chriss_model

  • Land use
  • Classification of land resources based on what can be built and on its use

    include land cover monitoring and assessments, modeling risk and vulnerability, and land change modeling. The IPCC defines the term land use as the "total

    Land use

    Land use

    Land_use

  • Drawdown (economics)
  • Measure of the decline from a historical peak

    (September 4), 2003 Eckholdt, H., "Risk Management: Using SAS to Model Portfolio Drawdown, Recovery and Value at Risk" (February), 2004. [What journal was

    Drawdown (economics)

    Drawdown_(economics)

  • Country risk
  • Risk of investing or lending in a country

    agencies tend to use quantitative econometric models and focus on financial analysis, whereas political risk providers tend to use qualitative methods, focusing

    Country risk

    Country_risk

  • Dilip Madan
  • American financial economist (born 1946)

    fields including business and finance. In his analysis of the impact of model risk on the valuation of barrier options, he highlighted the divergent pricing

    Dilip Madan

    Dilip Madan

    Dilip_Madan

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